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For years, Wisconsin has been one of the most heavily gerrymandered states in the country, with legislative districts that overwhelmingly favored Republicans. In fact, the maps were so one-sided that, even though the state has a roughly equal share of Democrats and Republicans, Republicans were able to lock in large majorities in the State Assembly and Senate. But earlier this year, the state adopted new maps, which have significantly changed the political landscape in the state for Democrats. They are newly optimistic. So after months of hearing about President Biden’s problems motivating the Democratic base, we traveled to the critical battleground state of Wisconsin to ask: Have new maps led to new energy for Democrats, up and down the ballot?

Persons: Biden’s Organizations: Republicans, State Assembly, Senate, Democrats, Democratic Locations: Wisconsin, State

astead herndonLast year, the comedian was Roy Wood Jr., a veteran of “The Daily Show” on Comedy Central —archived recording (roy wood jr.) Happy to be here. I don’t think you can ignore anything that the American people are bringing to you. So I think that’s where it ain’t funny to a lot of people. And I think that’s what we’re — those are the only two things we’re armed with is either laughs or yelling. But now do you want the funny guy that’s going to be in control of your uterus?

Persons: astead herndon, Jon Stewart, Wanda Sykes, roy, Dark Brandon, Roy Wood Jr, astead herndon —, I’ll, I’m, Clarence Thomas, There’s, Trump, it’s, Donald Trump, —, Biden, ” I’m Astead, ”, Showtime ”, that’ll, astead herndon Really, It’ll, astead, Jim Messina, Joe Biden, Rupert Murdoch, That’s, Harry Styles, Don Lemon, Harris, Ron Klain, exoticize Joe Biden, Scranton Joe, we’re, you’re, Obama, herndon, we’ve, Bob Dole, that’s, George Floyd, They’re, what’s, Roy, Buddy, who’s, Trayvon Martin —, let’s, Ludacris, Kim Kardashian, Ray J, Kardashian, astead herndon Roy, he’s, Joe Biden’s, It’s, I’ve, He’s, George Lopez, they’re, astead herndon I’m, there’s, John Oliver — astead herndon, “, Sarah Palin, Tina Fey’s, Nikki Haley, ain’t, Haley, Nikki Haley can’t, donald, Ron “ DeSanctimonious, astead herndon It’s, who’ve, Obama Obama, Lock, Hillary’s, Marco, You’re, Little Marco, Karine Jean, Pierre, astead herndon That’s, Donald Trump’s, Stormy Daniels, Jonah Bromwich, haven’t, jonah bromwich You’ve, We’ve, Michael Cohen, David Pecker, don’t, Trump — jonah bromwich, He’ll, biden, astead herndon Joe Biden, Let’s, She’s Organizations: White, Super, Comedy, “, Disney, The New York Times, Showtime, astead herndon, Trump, Biden, Paramount, BET, Scranton, Republicans, Florida, M University, Black College, Republican, Democratic Party, Democratic, Democrat, RFK, Party, Tea Party, SNL, Democrats, Tower, National, ”, AMI, Trump — Locations: Washington , DC, France, America, ” I’m Astead Herndon, herndon, Scranton, Tallahassee, Birmingham , Alabama, Birmingham, astead herndon, South Carolina, CPAC, Palestine, Israel, Manhattan, Florida, Tampa, Pennsylvania

Right now, President Biden’s clearest path to re-election in November seems to run through the middle of the country. Nebraska is one of just two states that distributes electoral college votes proportionally rather than with a winner-take-all approach. That means that, even though it’s a largely conservative state, Nebraskans sometimes still give one of their five electoral votes to a Democrat, as they did for Mr. Biden in 2020. This year, Nebraska and the up-for-grabs nature of that one electoral vote has caught the attention of the right-wing commentator Charlie Kirk, former President Donald Trump and his supporters. In recent weeks, they’ve mobilized and are throwing Nebraska’s unique electoral system into flux.

Persons: Biden, it’s, Charlie Kirk, Donald Trump, they’ve Organizations: Mr Locations: Pennsylvania , Wisconsin, Michigan, Nebraska, . Nebraska

According to the Biden campaign, the event brought in more than $25 million. That fund-raising haul further tips the scales in the money race between Donald J. Trump and Mr. Biden — a race that, so far, the Democrats have been winning. And when two candidates are as well known as Mr. Biden and Mr. Trump, there might be a limit to what money can buy. This week, we speak with the longtime Democratic donor Robert Wolf about the Radio City fund-raiser and why he has donated to Mr. Biden. And Shane Goldmacher, a national political correspondent for The New York Times, explains the vast financial gap between the candidates.

Persons: Biden, Barack Obama, Bill Clinton, Biden’s, Stephen Colbert, Mindy Kaling, Queen Latifah, Donald J, Trump, Biden —, hasn’t, Robert Wolf, Shane Goldmacher Organizations: Radio City Music Hall, Democratic, Radio City, Mr, The New York Times

The people who don’t vote are often left out of the political conversation. Campaigns don’t spend much money on them, and the media doesn’t devote much coverage to them. But to understand a presidential contest like the 2024 race — one that threatens to be extremely close — we have to understand not just the people who show up to vote, but also those who sit out elections.

Organizations: don’t

Credits“The Run-Up” is hosted by Astead W. Herndon and produced by Anna Foley , Elisa Gutierrez and Caitlin O’Keefe . The show is edited by Rachel Dry , Lisa Tobin and Frannie Carr Toth . Engineering by Sophia Lanman and original music by Dan Powell , Marion Lozano , Pat McCusker , Diane Wong and Elisheba Ittoop . Fact-checking by Caitlin Love. Special thanks to Paula Szuchman, Sam Dolnick, Larissa Anderson, David Halbfinger, Renan Borelli, Mahima Chablani, Jeffrey Miranda and Maddy Masiello.

Persons: Astead W, Herndon, Anna Foley, Elisa Gutierrez, Caitlin O’Keefe, Rachel Dry, Lisa Tobin, Frannie Carr Toth, Sophia Lanman, Dan Powell, Marion Lozano, Pat McCusker, Diane Wong, Elisheba, Caitlin Love, Paula Szuchman, Sam Dolnick, Larissa Anderson, David Halbfinger, Renan Borelli, Mahima Chablani, Jeffrey Miranda, Maddy Masiello

For a lot of his most loyal supporters, Donald Trump isn’t just the former president or even the potential next president. He is, in their view, the true president — because many of them believe the 2020 election was stolen.

Persons: Donald Trump isn’t, —

For the past few months, we’ve been asking our listeners to write in with questions, and we’ve gotten some great ones. Things like: How does polling work? Does Joe Biden’s stance on Gaza present a campaign challenge? And who might Donald Trump select as his running mate? But as we were sorting through them, an underlying theme started to emerge: People can’t seem to fathom that we’re careening toward a Biden-Trump rematch — and they want to know if anything could alter this seemingly inevitable reality.

Persons: we’ve, Joe Biden’s, Donald Trump Organizations: Biden, Trump Locations: Gaza

But — astead herndon You don’t really talk — you don’t really talk about that on the first date? I don’t know how to — I don’t know if that’s the best way to phrase it. I just — they’re not for me if they’re really, really intense about it. And it is really, really important to some people and less important to others. speaker 8 I’m — I’m — I’m more pro-choice, to be honest.

Persons: ashley I’m Ashley, radia I’m Radia, ashley, astead herndon, ashley Yes, radia, we’re, we’ve, hasn’t, Donald Trump, it’s Donald Trump, Joe Biden, ashley Um, BELL, herndon, Elisa Gutierrez, Ashley, Radia, King of Prussia, elisa gutierrez, elisa gutierrez Oh, elisa gutierrez We’re, Don’t, I’m Astead Herndon, Trump, there’s, you’re, — astead herndon, Biden, It’s, that’s, I’m, COVID, didn’t —, aren’t, I’m John, astead, wasn’t, karen, Karen, karen Um, don’t, they’re, — astead, —, Pew, jess grose, Jess Grose, ” astead herndon, anna martin I’m Anna Martin, Elisa, anna martin, Jess, you’ve, astead herndon We’re, Anna, Taylor Swift, anna martin That’s, anna martin You’re, I’ve, anna martin Totally, jess grose Homophily, astead herndon Homophily, astead herndon I’m, — jess grose That’s, it’s, you’ll, anna martin Absolutely, jess grose Yes, anna martin Oh, Wariness, astead herndon Anna, anna martin Good, jess grose Oh, Jessica Grose, Anna Martin, Tom Suozzi, Republican Mazi Pilip, astead herndon He’ll, George Santos, astead herndon Donald Trump, Lara Trump, Sean Hannity, lara, Donald J, Ronna McDaniel, biden, Jason Kelce, Travis Kelce, Mama Kelce Organizations: The New York Times, Biden, Trump, Pew, “ Times, Democratic, Republican Party, Republican, The Boston Globe, Nassau, Nassau County Republican, Republican National Committee, RNC, South, GOP Locations: King, Philadelphia, herndon, astead herndon, It’s, United States, —, Boston, New, Nassau County, Israel

Our listeners have lots of questions about polling. At this point in a usual primary season, still weeks away from Super Tuesday, most of the attention of polling would be on who might capture the nomination. But this year, with the race all but set, we’re anticipating nine months of polling on two men we already know very well. Today, to prepare for that future and to answer the many questions on the subject, we go behind the scenes with the New York Times polling team. And Nate Cohn, our chief political analyst, introduces us to “double haters” and other swingy voters he thinks will decide 2024.

Persons: Nate Cohn Organizations: Super, New York Times

Nevada is doing things differently this year. Or at least, it tried to. The first presidential nominating contest in the west takes place on Tuesday — and on Thursday. But that’s not what state officials were hoping would happen when they decided to move from a caucus to a primary in 2021.

Persons: that’s Locations: Nevada

President Biden has started to switch gears into campaign mode. On the trail, he’s particularly focused on South Carolina, which holds the first official Democratic primary contest on Saturday. And one of his first campaign events of the year took him to Emanuel A.M.E. Church in Charleston, for a speech that addressed the dangers of white supremacy. But a few minutes into the speech, he was interrupted by protesters calling for a cease-fire in Gaza. Today: The activists drowning out the president at campaign events.

Persons: Biden, Emanuel A.M.E, Abdullah Hammoud Organizations: Democratic, Hamas Locations: South Carolina, Charleston, Gaza, Israel, Dearborn, Mich

Caitlin O’Keefe and Rachel Dry , Rachel Quester, Paige Cowett andListen and follow The DailyApple Podcasts | Spotify | Amazon MusicInside the Republican Party, a class war is playing out between the pro-Trump base, which is ready for the nomination fight to be over, and the anti-Trump donor class, which thinks it’s just getting started. Astead Herndon, a political correspondent for The Times and the host of “The Run-Up,” explains the clash.

Persons: Caitlin O’Keefe, Rachel Dry, Rachel Quester, Paige Cowett, it’s, Astead Herndon, ” Organizations: Spotify, Republican Party, Trump, The Times

Donald Trump’s victory over Nikki Haley in the New Hampshire primary made two things clear: The MAGA wing of the G.O.P. is ready for his coronation, while anti-Trump Republicans believe the race is far from over. From inside Trump’s victory party on Tuesday night, we hear from supporters of the former president and from the stars of his orbit, who see themselves as being on the verge of “obliterating the establishment.” And from Tim Draper, a billionaire venture capitalist who is backing Haley. About ‘The Run-Up’“The Run-Up” is your guide to understanding the 2024 election. New episodes on Thursdays.

Persons: Donald Trump’s, Nikki Haley, Tim Draper, Haley, Herndon Organizations: Trump Republicans, New York Times Locations: New Hampshire

On Sunday, after a disappointing finish in the Iowa caucuses and with just two days to go before the New Hampshire primary, Ron DeSantis ended his campaign for president. His decision made it official: The race for the Republican nomination is now a head-to-head contest between two wildly different candidates, Nikki Haley and Donald Trump. And now, the famously independent New Hampshire voters are going to determine how serious a contest it is. First, how Haley’s recent change in tone and sharpening attacks on Trump will play with independents. And third, what the Democrats are up to — since there’s a contest here on that side too.

Persons: Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Donald Trump, Trump, there’s Organizations: New, Republican, New Hampshire voters, Trump Locations: Iowa, New Hampshire

And I think he’s right there with Reagan as far as his track record, what he did overall throughout his presidency. I think it really does set her up well as you do move on into some other states. nick corasanitiSo New Hampshire has a long history of really just going against Iowa, right? Those independents is where the question of the final results really, really come in. They were economic voters, taxation voters, pro-gun voters, not any of those kind of evangelical issues that we heard in Iowa.

Persons: I’m, We’ve, I’m Astead, ”, Iowans, Donald Trump, Trump, Nikki ”, Haley, it’s, Ames, Harrison Barnes, Doug McDermott, Troy Hill, Nikki Haley, Vivek, — he’s, wouldn’t, “, aren’t, Reagan, DeSantis, Nikki, Ramaswamy, Ron, he’s, Biden, Ron DeSantis, —, I’ve, who’s, It’s, hasn’t, caucusing, Roe, Astead Herndon, Aaron, it’s Trump, They’re, Mike Pence, you’ll, we’re, Anna, Teresa didn’t, Teresa, haven’t, Nikki Haley’s, Donald Trump’s, Vivek Ramaswamy, Nick Corasaniti, astead herndon, Nick, Trump’s, astead, There’s, they’re, Rand Paul, herndon, Bill Clinton, — astead herndon Isn’t, John McCain, George W, Bush, isn’t, They’ve, unquote, astead herndon It’s, He’s, Chris Christie, Christie, that’s, “ Trump, it’ll, she’s, I’d Organizations: Trump, The New York Times, Republican, CNN, Iowa, America, Iowa State University, NBA, Republicans, Republican Party, Associated Press, NBC, CBS, Iowa Republican, New, astead herndon, New Hampshire, Democrat, New Hampshire Republican, Prosperity Locations: Iowa, New Hampshire, I’m Astead Herndon, , Iowa, Ames , Iowa, Des Moines, Trump, Troy, Ukraine, Congo, , New Hampshire, COVID, Indiana, Ames, “, Hampshire, astead herndon, Portsmouth

Ron DeSantis of Florida refocused his campaign strategy to be all-in on Iowa, and right in the midst of debilitating winter weather, the Iowa caucuses are upon us. And “The Run-Up” has everything you need to know to understand what might happen today — and what it will mean for the race going forward. Going into the caucus, Mr. Trump has a dominant polling lead. Iowa voters tend to care more about candidates who can speak more to small-town and religious values. The state’s evangelical leaders have largely backed Mr. DeSantis, but evangelical voters themselves — including people coming out to Trump events in freezing temperatures in the last week — have largely backed Mr. Trump.

Persons: Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis, Trump, DeSantis Organizations: Gov, Iowa, Trump Locations: Florida, Iowa

The former president’s legal status is one of the biggest wild cards heading into 2024. Even as he dominates the Republican primary and his party, Trump has been indicted on 91 felony charges, across four criminal cases in state and federal courts. We spent a day talking to our colleagues in The Times’s newsroom, trying to get answers to questions it’s surreal to even be asking. Among them: Are Republicans coalescing around a man who may soon be a convicted felon? And how much will Trump’s legal troubles collide with an election cycle that is unlike any we’ve seen before?

Persons: Trump Organizations: Republican, coalescing

☆ A group of Black voters recently sounded off on Biden, Trump, and their feelings about Democrats. One voter said the party 'has forgot about the Black male.'
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-26 | by ( John L. Dorman | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

An a episode of NYT's "The Run-Up," Black voters discussed Biden, Trump, and the Democratic Party. Several Black voters expressed varying degrees of disappointment with the administration. One Black voter told The Times he perceives Democrats as empowering Black women over Black men. Many voters in group told Herndon that they largely backed Democrats due to a GOP agenda which they find intolerable. AdvertisementA Black male in the group, who said that the GOP espoused values of entrepreneurship that might attract some Black men to Trump next year, also spoke openly of how he felt that Democrats empowered Black women at the expense of Black men.

Persons: Trump, —, Joe Biden's, Biden, Donald Trump, Herndon, Kamala Harris, we've, Barack, Obama, Harris, they're Organizations: Biden, Democratic Party, Times, Service, Democratic, Black, New York Times, Trump, White, GOP Locations: Georgia , Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Siena, Black

“The Run-Up” is in a particularly good position to try and answer those questions. We convened a focus group — a very special, one-time only focus group in the childhood home of Astead W. Herndon, who hosts “The Run-Up.”For the wide-ranging discussion, he gathered family members, parishioners from his father’s church, community members and people he grew up with, all of whom largely leaned Democratic, but were clear about the ways in which the party had let them down. The conversations were anchored in questions about Black voters and the Democratic Party, but also covered the apparent appeal of Mr. Trump to Black men specifically.

Persons: Herndon, Trump Organizations: Democratic, Democratic Party

Vice President Kamala Harris is crucial to the Biden campaign’s strategy for winning over a skeptical Democratic base. Her central role — combined with President Joe Biden’s advanced age — means that certain questions have taken on renewed importance. Specifically: What does Ms. Harris believe, and what kind of president would she be? The question of what Ms. Harris believes is one Astead returned to in August. That’s when he sat with the vice president for a wide-ranging interview in Chicago, conducted as part of the reporting for a New York Times Magazine cover story on Ms. Harris.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Biden, —, Joe Biden’s, Harris, Herndon, That’s Organizations: Democratic, New York Times Magazine Locations: Chicago

Over the course of a few days this week, we got two pretty remarkable data points for the 2024 election. In Virginia, Democrats took control of the state legislature, flipping the House of Delegates and preserving control of the Senate. Just a few days earlier, though, The New York Times and Siena College released a new poll of battleground states. Former President Donald J. Trump was leading President Biden in five out of the six states where voters were surveyed. What to make of bad news for the president followed by good news for his party just a few days later?

Persons: Andy Beshear, Donald J, Trump, Biden Organizations: Gov, New York Times, Siena College Locations: Kentucky, In Ohio, State, In Virginia

Clallam County in Washington State is far from Washington, D.C. — almost as far as you can go without leaving the continental United States. It’s right on the border with Canada. It’s home to about 78,000 people and Olympic National Park. It’s home to Forks, perhaps best known as the setting of Stephenie Meyer’s “Twilight” series. It’s also the home of a particular piece of political trivia.

Persons: —, Stephenie Meyer’s, It’s Organizations: Washington , D.C, Olympic Locations: Clallam County, Washington State, Washington ,, United States, Canada, Forks

☆ The Run-Up Returns, Every Week Through Election Day
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-30 | by ( The Run-Up | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: 1 min

We’re just about a year away from Election Day 2024. In a race in which the incumbent Democratic president is running for re-election and the leading Republican candidate is a former president himself, it can be easy to write off this presidential election as one we’ve seen before. It does seem likely that the country is heading toward the same matchup voters faced in 2020. And why it demands a different kind of political reporting. “The Run-Up” and its host, Astead W. Herndon, will be covering this election from the usual early voting states and candidate events.

Persons: Herndon Organizations: Democratic, Republican Locations: Iowa

☆ A prominent Black voting rights activist says there are 'saboteurs' within the Democratic Party who don't want Kamala Harris to succeed, arguing they are worried about her 'outshining' Biden
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-10 | by ( John L. Dorman | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Kamala Harris' tenure as vice president has been marked by a series of high-profile ups and downs. Voting rights activist LaTosha Brown told The New York Times Magazine she feels some Democrats have undermined the VP. AdvertisementAdvertisement"I think there have been saboteurs within the administration," Brown told The Times' Astead W. Herndon. The vice president has also been an in-demand speaker among college students — especially at historically Black colleges and universities. Dunn also shut down any rumors that Harris might be replaced as Biden's running mate next year.

Persons: Kamala Harris, LaTosha Brown, Anita Dunn, Harris, —, Barack Obama, Obama, Joe Biden, Brown, Kamala outshining Biden, Roe, Wade, Biden, hasn't, Brown —, Raphael Warnock, Jon Ossoff, Sen, Elizabeth Warren of, Lester Holt —, she's, Dunn Organizations: The New York Times Magazine, White House, Service, Black, New York Times Magazine, Times, MSNBC, Democratic Party, Biden, Democratic, NBC News Locations: California, Washington, Herndon, Georgia, Sens, Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts, Mexico

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